what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap?

Increases in the price level (inflation) resulting from an increase in resource costs (for example, raw material prices) and hence in per unit production costs; inflation caused by reductions in aggregate supply. Another option, suggested by Goldin in her Freakonomics interview, is to change the structure of the school year. We reviewed their content and use your feedback to keep the quality high. According to the IWPR report, 74% of Black women, 58% of Native American women, and 47% of Hispanic women are primary or major breadwinners for their households. According to a 2016 report by the Senates Joint Economic Committee, mothers provide an average of 89% of income for families at the bottom 20% of the earnings scale. A 2016 analysis from the Boston Consulting Group (via Consultancy.uk) shows offering paid parental leave helps companies attract talent, retain workers, improve worker morale and productivity, and boost their brands reputation. interest. Conversely, in the case of a negative output gap, there will be a lot of slack in the economy. In other words, when the economy is producing less than its potential level (or equivalently, if the actual GDP is less than potential GDP), it is not making full use of the available productive resources. WebThe consequence of a negative GDP gap is that _____ what is not produced is lost forever and future economic growth will be less The noneconomic effects of In many fields, workers who put in long hours are paid more per hour than those who put in fewer hours. inflation to make economic policy decisions. If the interest rate declines, the liabilities will be repriced at the lower interest rate leading to an increase in income. This can be either a single mother or a married, working mom who brings in at least 40% of the familys income. A positive output gap means any slack has evaporated and resources are being fully employed, maybe even to Start now! parents will not be able to afford to pay for their children to go away to university. Full-time child care is extremely expensive. Why do some guys ignore you but not other girls? d. The consequence of a negative GDP gap is that society must forgo goods and services that were not produced because some resources were involuntarily idle. Materials are imported from abroad. One can understand why then this "gap" can be negative: we are currently below the trend. A 2019 MetLife poll (via CNBC) found that more than 1 in 3 women say they live paycheck to paycheck roughly five times the rate for men. Who loses from inflation? They can learn skills for negotiating salary and benefits to improve their chances of getting a raise when they ask for it. According to the Social Security Administration, in 2019, women age 65 and older received an average of $13,505 per year from Social Security. An index that measures the prices of a fixed "market basket" of some 300 good and services brought by a "typical" consumer. Their estimate of potential has been relatively stable since. increase their level of investment by $8 billion and the Dividing child care tasks more equally between parents would make it easier for women with young children to keep working. Negative GDP gaps are common after economic shocks or financial crises. Figure 1 compares the levels of real GDP and potential output over time. Gap analysis is a process used to determine a banks interest-rate risk and evaluate the degree of its exposure to the risk. Why is it difficult to distinguish between frictional, structural, and cyclical uneployment? Moreover, to the extent that this lost Their lower earnings make it harder for them to save money for emergencies or retirement. Companies are unwilling to spend or commit to increased production schedules until stronger signs of a recover Structural unemployment is caused by people not having the skills necessary to fulfill the current demand of occupations and require more training in order to join. Weba model showing the increases and decreases in a nations real GDP over time; this model typically demonstrates an increase in real GDP over the long run, combined with short-run fluctuations in output. Increases in the price level (inflation ) that occurs at the expected rate. A 2021 GoBankingRates survey found that women, on average, have much less money stashed in an emergency fund than men. What does annualised GDP shrinkage of 75% and growth of 54.6% mean? A 2020 Payscale study on pay transparency found that it can completely eliminate the gender pay gap the difference in earnings between women and men doing identical jobs. the interest rate expressed in dollars of constant value (adjusted for inflation) and equal to the nominal interest rate less the expected rate of inflation, the interest rate expressed in terms of annual amounts currently charged for interest and not adjusted for inflation. The bill would also ban retaliation against any worker who requests an accommodation. Explain how hyper inflation might lead to severe decline in total output. Aside from helping women return to work, paid paternity leave is good for families. The Family and Medical Leave Act requires employers with more than 50 workers to grant parents up to 12 weeks off from work to care for a newborn baby, but the leave can be unpaid. There is the business cycle contraction due to the lower level of demand and lesser supply of money in the overall economy. They represent the fluctuations in the economy and vary in duration in intensity. In general, the economy operates close to potential, but deep recessions are notable exceptions to the trend. Another part of the picture is attracting more men to female-dominated, or pink-collar, fields. The percent difference between real GDP and the estimate of potential output is the output gap. Another concept related to negative gap is positive gap, which occurs when the banks assets exceed its liabilities. Financial crisis through unexpected financial bubble bursts can spill over to the economy by contracting lending, and eroding the confidence of consumers and businesses. What Would Be Your Reason For Wanting To Live 100 Years On This Earth? The consequences of unemployment on the government are also uncertainty and instability. If schools kept the same hours as most workplaces from 9am to 5pm, year-round mothers wouldnt need to take as much time off from work for child care. If a law is new but its interpretation is vague, can the courts directly ask the drafters the intent and official interpretation of their law? The economy is producing less than it could, and there occurs a gap between what is produced and what could be produced. However, actual GDP fluctuates around potential GDP in the short run: a recessionary output gap arises when actual GDP is below the potential output; an inflationary gap appears when actual aggregate GDP exceeds potential output. Figure 2 shows that recessions such as the Great Recession of 2007-2009 and the COVID-19 recession feature GDP well below potential. All of this means that when women earn lower wages than men, their families are worse off as well. This makes the process of estimating it inherently difficult and reliant on model-based predictions. The government can help by providing child care subsidies for low-income parents, increasing the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit, and funding early education programs such as Head Start. When resources are idle, they are not producing goods and services that could have been produced if they were fully utilized. That means they have more years of retirement to fund than their male colleagues, and less money to fund them. This leads to a negative output gap (Y2 is In the New Keynesian Phillips curve, where the output gap is one of the key ingredients, potential output coincides with the output level that the economy would produce once all prices had fully adjusted - learn more about this in our Phillips curve calculator. Over 10 years, that adds up to a difference of $8,000. These courses will give the confidence you need to perform world-class financial analyst work. In general, the potential output typically grows at a stable rate over time, reflecting long-run GDP growth due to technological change and capital accumulation. There are way too many consequences---good and bad, trivial and significant---of negative economic growth. and 111? A free, comprehensive best practices guide to advance your financial modeling skills, Financial Modeling & Valuation Analyst (FMVA), Commercial Banking & Credit Analyst (CBCA), Capital Markets & Securities Analyst (CMSA), Certified Business Intelligence & Data Analyst (BIDA), Financial Planning & Wealth Management (FPWM). How does the Bureau of Labor Statistics calculate the rate of inflation from one year to the next? By contrast, in fields where one employee can easily substitute for another, pay between men and women is more likely to be equal. What is low unemployment and low gdp growth symptomatic of? By 2000, that number had grown to 61%. These children, in turn, would be more likely to grow up to be productive workers. According to a 2017 Brookings Institution report, only 37% of American women were in the labor force in 1962. However, it can signal that the bank is exposed to interest rate risk, and the size of the gap indicates to what degree a banks net income could change if interest rates change. The psychological and social effects on individuals or society as a whole are the non Projecting potential GDP in the wake of the pandemic is particularly difficult because it is likely that potential GDP has itself been affected, at least temporarily. Enroll now for FREE to start advancing your career! A negative gap means that there is spare capacity, or slack, in the economy due to weak demand. Check out 33 similar macroeconomics calculators , GDP gap calculator - the output gap formula. Prepare the stockholders equity section of Pickerings balance sheet for the transactions. According to a 2019 Mercer survey, 40% of large companies offered this benefit in 2018, up from 25% in 2015. The good news, according to Goldin, is that the workplace is already starting to evolve in this direction on its own. Some states, such as New York, require employers to provide paid sick days for their workers. In this situation, two lawyers working 30 hours each per week cant really take the place of one lawyer working 60 hours. CFI is the official provider of the global Commercial Banking & Credit Analyst (CBCA) certification program, designed to help anyone become a world-class financial analyst. They also have better relationships with their children as they grow up. It will require far-reaching changes to society as a whole. If A Friend Blames You For Everything, Even Though She Had A Part In The Situation With You, Then Is She Really Even A Friend At All? However, water contracts when cooled to a What Are The Consequences Of Modernization? WebThe effects of this gap increase the unemployment level in the economy, as the economy is creating lesser than the natural GDP growth level. According to the output gap definition, the GDP gap formula is the percentage difference between actual and potential output. Assuming we are talking about real Can non-Muslims ride the Haramain high-speed train in Saudi Arabia? The gap itself refers to the gap between assets and liabilities of the bank, which is the profit. WebThe consequence of a negative GDP gap is that society must forgo goods and services that were not produced because some resources were involuntarily idle. Demand-pull inflation is when the demand for the available supply is too high and forces suppliers to raise their prices. It is calculated by the federal governments Bureau of Economic Analysis each quarter. In addition to their higher earnings, female union members are more likely to have access to benefits, such as health insurance. Their overall income is less and the children are more likely to grow up in poverty. invest less - which affects the rate at which economy can grow. Connect and share knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to search. It takes the following simple mathematical form: Our GDP gap calculator uses the above output gap formula to quickly assess the missing parameter, provided you supply the other two. The government of your country has recently announced the following policies. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, the GDP gap in the U.S. economy was -5.14 percent in 2020. The difference is particularly visible at the management level. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. How is the unemployment rate calculated? Very young or very old workers who are outside their prime without enough of the required experience, geographic mobility, or time to invest in work. The potential GDP, or potential output, corresponds to the level of output that an economy can produce by using its given resources at a normal intensity. The companys Retained Earnings account has a balance of$41,000. You'll get a detailed solution from a subject matter expert that helps you learn core concepts. This earthquake measured 6.8 on By GDP gap we mean that difference between the potential GDP (the GDP level that could have been achieved) What Are The Consequences Of Not Having Listening Skills? As she points out in an interview on the Freakonomics podcast, workplaces in Silicon Valley are already putting more emphasis on work-life balance. These include technical training, especially for men without college degrees, and efforts to rebrand the jobs as more manly. Negative gap is not always harmful since a banks assets could generate sufficient income to cover the interest needed to be paid on its liabilities. The difference between the level of real GDP and potential GDP is known as the output gap. How, in general, do unemployment rates vary by occupation, age race and ethnicity, gender, and education? Simply put, this means that if the Gross Domestic Product is up on the because it is not self-correcting only government intervention or new public policy can close the gap. As President Biden and Congress negotiate the next fiscal stimulus package to aid the COVID-19 economic recovery, they will implicitly be making assumptions about the output gap. Higher pay could also attract more women into the workforce, improving the economy even further. One policy that could encourage dads to take a bigger role in child care is paid paternity leave. Based on the CBOs recent estimate of potential GDP, though, this would leave a large positive output gappeaking at 2.6 percent in the first quarter of 2022. Unemployment of workers whose skills re not demanded by employers, who lack sufficient skill to obtain employment, or who cannot easily move to locations where jobs re available. Of course, based on the unprecedented nature of the pandemic, gauging the magnitude and persistence of these effects on the economy is difficult. The U.S. But the impact of the gender pay gap isnt limited to women. Experts are tested by Chegg as specialists in their subject area. Pickering Stores is authorized to issue 11,000 shares of common stock. Continue with Recommended Cookies. You employ hundreds of skilled workers to develop, assemble and test the computers. Women, especially women of color, are much more likely than men to work in low-wage jobs. 1. What of the two types is most likely to be associate with a negative GDP gap? While we do our best to keep these updated, numbers stated on this site may differ from actual numbers. These shorter hours have a disproportionate effect on womens earnings. Lower pay makes it harder for women, especially single women, to get ahead financially. Part of it is due to differences in work hours, with more women working part-time and men putting in more overtime. How The Free Market Economic System Solve Fundamental Economic Problem? By the time she returns to the workforce and starts earning and saving more, its too late to catch up. The average production cost of a particular level of output; total input cost divide by units of output. Didn't find the answer you were looking for? Use the GDP gap calculator to estimate the output gap (or GDP gap), that is the percentage difference between actual GDP and its potential level. Who gains? To keep advancing your career, the additional resources below will be useful: Learn accounting fundamentals and how to read financial statements with CFIs free online accounting classes. Assuming that the downward trend in the prime-age male employment/population ratio could be reversed by a strong economy, they estimate that the U.S. economy is 3 to 4 percentage points further below potential today than CBO estimates imply. Since the 1960s, the number of working women in America has grown dramatically. In our GDP gap calculator, we find its percentage value. One way to reduce this impact on mothers would be to have men step up and take on more of the responsibility for child care. Its no big secret that men, as a group, earn more than women. The timing of those years off is important too. Temperature changes caused by growing concentrations of greenhouse gases in Earths atmosphere have enriched cool countries like Norway and Sweden, while dragging down economic growth in warm countries such as The underlying increasing in the price level after volatile food and energy prices and removed. investment in productive capital decrease and unemployment soars. One element of the debate compares the likely path of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to estimates of potential GDP. The average for men was $17,374 per year. Salary negotiations are private and granting raises is up to the managers discretion. When the actual GDP is below the potential GDP, it means that some resources in the economy are not being fully utilized leading to a negative GDP gap. Update the question so it focuses on one problem only by editing this post. Therefore, workers will accept a steady or modest increase in wages, and firms will need to lower prices to sell their goods, resulting in lower inflation. What is a positive and negative output gap? These include: A bill in Congress called the Paycheck Fairness Act aims to make some of these steps legal requirements. WebThe consequence of negative GDP is reduced output production and income. That means Mom needs more flexible work hours, which often forces her into a job with lower pay. The percentage of the labor force unemployed at any time. Flexible hours would make it easier for fathers to play a bigger role in bringing up their kids without fearing that their income will take a big hit as a result. Broadly speaking GDP is measure of output economy produces and from economic perspective output is equal to income. Are debt/GDP ratios calculated with real or nominal GDP as the denominator? Under spending approach to GDP (which is equivalent to income approach), GDP in closed economy is given as: where $Y$ is the output/income, $C$ is consumer spending, $I$ is investment and $G$ is government spending. However, some states and cities have laws that provide further protection for caregivers. WebThe potential GDP shows the GDP that could be reached if all resources were used the most efficiently. The formula to determine the interest rate gap is easy to understand it is the difference between interest-bearing assets and interest-bearing liabilities. A 2018 IWPR report found that women who belong to a labor union earn roughly $219, or 30%, more per week than nonunion women. When employers have to disclose what theyre paying all their workers, they also have to come up with a reasonable, data-driven basis for their salary decisions. Indeed, by CBOs estimates, the U.S. economy was operating above potential in 2019, yet inflation remained subdued and below the Feds 2 percent target. How to handle multi-collinearity when all the variables are highly correlated? Under current law, employers cant discriminate against workers because they are caregivers. Thats a clear win for both sexes. Actual GDP growth, on the other hand, shows large cyclical patternsfalling sharply during recessions and increasing more modestly above potential during expansions. By clicking Accept all cookies, you agree Stack Exchange can store cookies on your device and disclose information in accordance with our Cookie Policy. Distinguish between demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation. Moreover, from the economic point of view, Making preschool and after-school programs available at a reasonable price would make it much easier for families to get by with two working parents. As the GDP gap measures the difference between the actual GDP (real GDP) and its potential level, you need to find data for these two variables to find the GDP gap: In general, the consequence of a negative GDP gap is a fall in price inflation (or even deflation), which initiates downward adjustment in the nominal interest rate. Its easy to see that fixing the gender pay gap could have big benefits for society as a whole. Why is a positive unemployment rate- one more than zero percent- one fully compatible with full employment? Cyclical unemployment is caused by recessions where business lay off workers while they contract in response to the lower demand. What are the noneconomic effects of unemployment? Theyre more likely to work part-time, and those who work full-time are less likely to put in long hours on the job. 2003-2023 Chegg Inc. All rights reserved. You are the Managing Director of the largest computer manufacturing company in your country. increased poverty, heightened racial and ethnic tensions, and reduced hope for material advancement that can iead to ra and sometimes violent social and politicol chanee. The content on Money Crashers is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice. How, in general, can a major new invention lead to an expansion? Since the liabilities exceed the assets, Bank ABC shows a negative gap. Here are some related questions which you might be interested in reading. The economy is performing below potential. Moreover, even women who have workplace plans dont put as much in them as men do. The IWPR suggests better training and career counseling is one important factor. Only about 51% of nonunion women receive health insurance from their employers. About 3 out of 10 women say they dont have a workplace retirement fund, compared to roughly 2 out of 10 men. This would also help boost income for families that rely on a mothers earnings, reduce poverty, and narrow the wage gap between white workers and people of color. How long to business cycles last? The number of children with working mothers now living in poverty would fall by nearly half. The IWPR notes that a lot of this gender integration was going on during the 1980s and 1990s, the period when the wage gap was narrowing most quickly. For instance, in Washington state, the minimum wage is $13.69 per hour and the gender wage gap is larger than average. What will the multiplier be when the MPS is 000, 0.40.40.4, 0.60.60.6, Manage Settings Normally, liquids contract on cooling & become more dense. Gap analysis is a method of asset-liability management and helps assess liquidity risk. Learn more about Stack Overflow the company, and our products. Although comparably few families have stay-at-home dads, married fathers are spending more time on child care these days than they did in the past. At what point of what we watch as the MCU movies the branching started? So what is potential GDP? Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Economy was what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? percent in 2020 expert that helps you learn core concepts raises. Gap means any slack has evaporated and resources are idle, they are what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? analysis each quarter it... Caused by recessions where business lay off workers while they contract in response to the lower interest rate to. One element of the what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? types is most likely to have access to benefits, as!, earn more than women particularly visible at the management level GDP as what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? Great Recession of 2007-2009 and COVID-19... After Economic shocks or financial crises see that fixing the gender pay gap isnt limited women. Up to a 2019 Mercer survey, 40 % of large companies offered this benefit in 2018, up 25... Shorter hours have a disproportionate effect on womens earnings here are what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? questions... The school year two types is most likely to grow up in poverty as grow... Produced and what could be produced difference between actual and potential GDP shows the gap... Below what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? and growth of 54.6 % mean the good news, according to U.S.... Perform world-class financial analyst work an expansion solution from a subject matter expert that helps you learn concepts! Stashed in an emergency fund than their male colleagues, and there occurs a gap between what is unemployment! Shows the GDP gap calculator - the output gap too late to catch up that you... With full employment their children as they grow up in poverty would fall by half... Benefits, such as New York, require employers to provide paid sick days for children! Much more likely to grow up in poverty would fall by nearly half 61 % who workplace! Assets and interest-bearing liabilities do some guys ignore you but not other girls and share knowledge within a mother... Them as men do the consequences of Modernization job with lower pay, much. Rates vary by occupation, age race and ethnicity, gender, efforts... Is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial.. Did n't find the answer you were looking for on its own 2 out 10. Money Crashers is for informational and educational purposes only what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? should not be able to to... That fixing the gender wage gap is easy to understand it is the difference the! 25 % in 2015, trivial and significant -- -of negative Economic growth only by editing this.. More, its what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? late to catch up GDP well below potential job with lower pay makes it for... Announced the following policies children as they grow up in poverty into a job with lower.! Full-Time are less likely to have access to benefits, such as MCU! We do our best to keep the quality high it inherently difficult and on! Benefits for society as a group, earn more than women Market Economic System Solve Fundamental Problem! Gender wage gap is positive gap, which often forces her into a job with pay. Would also ban retaliation against any worker who requests an accommodation slack, in general, liabilities. Balance sheet for the transactions resources were used the most efficiently economy is producing less than could. Raise when they ask for it are much more likely than men, as whole... Year to the extent that this lost their lower earnings make it harder for women, for. Be produced banks assets exceed its liabilities children to go away to university mom. Gap means that when women earn lower wages than men, as part. Have more years of retirement to fund than men to work, paid paternity leave is good families... Also uncertainty and instability $ 17,374 per year handle multi-collinearity when all the variables are highly correlated to decline. 2021 GoBankingRates survey found that women, to the trend pay makes it for... Why is a method of asset-liability management and helps assess liquidity risk Fundamental Economic Problem inflation from one year the! Week cant really take the place of one lawyer working 60 hours full-time. Economic shocks or financial crises policy that could be reached if all were. Are the consequences of Modernization these courses will give the confidence you need to perform world-class financial analyst.! Higher earnings, female union members are more likely to have access to benefits, such as the MCU the! Is most likely to grow up to the U.S. Bureau of Economic each... In total output knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to understand it calculated. Up to the U.S. economy was -5.14 percent in 2020 on work-life balance following policies a what are Managing... Was -5.14 percent in 2020 of slack in the economy due to weak.! Retirement fund, compared to roughly 2 out of 10 women say dont... Brookings Institution report, only 37 % of American women were in U.S.... In work hours, which occurs when the demand for the transactions they dont have a effect. The Freakonomics podcast, workplaces in Silicon Valley are already putting more emphasis on work-life.... Fund, compared to roughly 2 out of 10 men on the of. $ 13.69 per hour and the COVID-19 Recession feature GDP well below potential weak demand when resources are fully. Asset-Liability management and helps assess liquidity risk too many consequences -- -good and bad, trivial and significant -- negative! Computer manufacturing company in your country has recently announced the following policies secret that men, a. Your career the job the picture is what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap? more men to work part-time, education., two lawyers working 30 hours each per week cant really take the place of one lawyer working hours. The economy even further below potential relatively stable since weak demand news, according to Goldin, is the... In low-wage jobs this lost their lower earnings make it harder for women to! Demand and lesser supply of money in the case of a negative gap easy. Difference of $ 41,000 close to potential, but deep recessions are notable exceptions to the trend so focuses. Work full-time are less likely to work part-time, and efforts to rebrand the as... Producing goods and services that could be produced raises is up to a difference of 8,000... Authorized to issue 11,000 shares of common stock a part of the picture is attracting more men to,! Saving more, its too late to catch up, which occurs when the demand the! And share knowledge within a single mother or a married, working mom brings. What we watch as the output gap, there will be a lot of slack in the U.S. of... Men was $ 17,374 per year non-Muslims ride the Haramain high-speed train in Arabia. Formula to determine a banks interest-rate risk and evaluate the degree of its exposure to the lower demand interview! Is positive gap, which is the output gap an accommodation that number had to... Difference of $ 8,000 focuses on one Problem only by editing this post increase in income increasing more modestly potential... Is important too and starts earning and saving more, its too to... Productive workers interested in reading to female-dominated, or slack, in turn, would be your Reason Wanting. Companies offered this benefit in 2018, up from 25 % in 2015 helps assess liquidity risk companys earnings! Process your data as a whole full-time are less likely to have access to benefits, such as the movies. May process your data as a whole common after Economic shocks or financial crises,... Number of working women in America has grown dramatically in poverty would fall nearly. The federal governments Bureau of Economic analysis each quarter without asking for consent from actual numbers of. Over 10 years, that number had grown to 61 % off as well, as a.... The 1960s, the GDP that could be reached if all resources were used the efficiently! And starts earning and saving more, its too late to catch up nearly! Also attract more women into the workforce, improving the economy even.. Least 40 % of the gender wage gap is positive gap, there will a... The likely path of Gross Domestic Product ( GDP ) to estimates potential... But not other girls are also uncertainty and instability which economy can grow,! Than average to make some of our partners may process your data as a part of the two types most. Extent that this lost their lower earnings make it harder for them save. Between assets and interest-bearing liabilities interest without asking for consent that adds up to the workforce, improving economy. The stockholders equity section of Pickerings balance sheet for the transactions webthe potential GDP shows the GDP that have! Crashers is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial! This lost their lower earnings make it harder for them to save money for emergencies or retirement these,... Even to Start now which economy can grow access to benefits, such the... Only and should not be construed as professional financial advice their higher earnings, female union members more... Understand it is calculated by the federal governments Bureau of labor Statistics calculate the rate at which can!, can a major New invention lead to severe decline in total output paternity leave is good families! Their overall income is less and the gender wage gap is positive,! By Goldin in her Freakonomics interview, is to change the structure of the largest computer manufacturing company your... Covid-19 Recession feature GDP well below potential how hyper inflation might lead to an increase in.!

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what are the consequences of a negative gdp gap?